Net Lease & Sale-Leaseback Thrive Amidst CRE Volatility, Cap Rates Shift

By Majid Radaei, RadCRE · · Market Updates

Net lease and sale-leaseback transactions are proving resilient in a turbulent CRE market, with cap rates for top-tier assets holding steady, while retail and restaurant properties drive volume.

Net Lease & Sale-Leaseback Resilience in a Shifting Market

As the broader commercial real estate (CRE) market navigates a complex period of interest rate volatility and evolving capital availability, the net lease and sale-leaseback sectors have emerged as particularly resilient and strategic investment avenues. While transaction volumes across many asset classes have experienced a notable deceleration, net lease assets, characterized by long-term leases, minimal landlord responsibilities, and creditworthy tenants, continue to attract both institutional and private capital.

Transaction Trends and Investor Appetite

According to recent reports from firms like JLL and CBRE, overall net lease transaction volume, while down from the historic highs of 2021-2022, has shown remarkable stability when compared to other sectors. Investors are increasingly seeking the predictable cash flows and defensive qualities that net lease properties offer. Data from CoStar and Real Capital Analytics indicates that Q1 2026 saw approximately $12-15 billion in net lease sales volume, a modest decline year-over-year but a strong performance relative to the broader investment sales market, which saw steeper drops. Retail net lease properties, particularly essential services and quick-service restaurants (QSRs), continue to be a dominant force, often transacting at cap rates ranging from 5.5% to 6.75% for single-tenant, credit-rated assets, depending on location and lease term.

Sale-leaseback transactions, in particular, are experiencing a renaissance. Corporate occupiers are leveraging their real estate holdings to unlock capital for strategic initiatives, debt reduction, or operational expansion, rather than relying solely on traditional debt markets which have become more expensive and restrictive. Major corporations across various sectors, from healthcare to retail, have engaged in significant sale-leaseback deals. For example, in 2025, Walgreens executed several sale-leaseback transactions totaling over $500 million for a portfolio of its stores, with cap rates generally falling between 6.0% and 6.5%, demonstrating sustained investor demand for these essential retail properties.

Cap Rate Dynamics and Investment Strategies

Cap rates for prime net lease assets have generally held firm or seen only modest upward adjustments compared to the significant cap rate expansion observed in other property types. However, a bifurcation is evident: core, long-term leased assets with investment-grade tenants in desirable locations continue to command premium pricing. Secondary markets and properties with shorter lease terms or weaker credit tenancy have seen more pronounced cap rate softening. Institutional investors, including sovereign wealth funds and large pension advisors, are increasingly allocating capital to net lease funds, viewing them as a hedge against inflation and market volatility.

Financing for net lease transactions remains robust, albeit with higher interest rates. Lenders, including life insurance companies and CMBS originators, are comfortable with the stable cash flows and low loan-to-value ratios typically associated with net lease deals. Current CMBS spreads for high-quality net lease collateral often range between T + 175-250 basis points. For smaller, private investor-driven net lease acquisitions, local and regional banks provide competitive financing, though often requiring higher equity contributions.

RadCRE Perspective

Majid Radaei, Founder of RAD Commercial Realty, notes, "The net lease market today is a tale of two cities. While headline cap rates might suggest some softening, especially on secondary assets, the flight to quality is undeniable. We're seeing intense competition for true 'A' grade net lease properties—think essential retail with strong corporate guarantees in high-growth submarkets. For clients with longer investment horizons, the current environment presents a unique opportunity to secure predictable returns, especially via sale-leaseback. We're actively advising companies to consider divesting non-core real estate through sale-leaseback to inject capital back into their operations, particularly as traditional corporate debt becomes more expensive. On the buyer side, the key is meticulous underwriting of tenant credit and lease terms. Don't just chase yield; chase certainty. We've structured deals recently where our clients are leveraging agency debt for single-tenant assets, locking in attractive long-term rates even with SOFR above 4.3%, effectively hedging against future rate hikes while securing reliable income streams. This market isn't about rapid appreciation; it's about stability and strategic capital deployment."

As the market continues to evolve, net lease and sale-leaseback transactions are expected to maintain their strategic importance. They offer a compelling blend of income stability, capital recycling opportunities for occupiers, and a relatively secure investment profile for those seeking long-term, passive income in an otherwise dynamic CRE landscape.

Tags: net lease, sale-leaseback, CRE investment, commercial real estate financing, cap rates, retail net lease, capital markets

Sources: JLL Research, CBRE Research, CoStar, Real Capital Analytics, Commercial Observer, GlobeSt